Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.030770 0.035715 0.041203 0.047747 0.055340 0.063876 0.074205
2025-12-14 0.022194 0.028437 0.036075 0.046115 0.058976 0.074922 0.096228
2025-12-21 0.017189 0.023756 0.032415 0.044680 0.061636 0.084301 0.116991
2025-12-28 0.014567 0.021423 0.031035 0.045516 0.066831 0.097147 0.143719
2026-01-04 0.012486 0.019372 0.029551 0.045719 0.070841 0.108538 0.169693
2026-01-11 0.010862 0.017674 0.028226 0.045798 0.074452 0.119548 0.196356
2026-01-18 0.009691 0.016465 0.027416 0.046457 0.078898 0.132226 0.227183
2026-01-25 0.008835 0.015622 0.027037 0.047691 0.084338 0.147059 0.263439
2026-02-01 0.007673 0.014079 0.025255 0.046235 0.084893 0.153575 0.285988
2026-02-08 0.006870 0.013053 0.024219 0.045923 0.087365 0.163641 0.316115
2026-02-15 0.006165 0.012107 0.023193 0.045465 0.089450 0.173161 0.346342
2026-02-22 0.005704 0.011562 0.022835 0.046208 0.093881 0.187564 0.387851
2026-03-01 0.005142 0.010751 0.021884 0.045701 0.095852 0.197583 0.422278
2026-03-08 0.004572 0.009852 0.020649 0.044454 0.096156 0.204300 0.450821
2026-03-15 0.004069 0.009027 0.019459 0.043137 0.096117 0.210262 0.478505
2026-03-22 0.003812 0.008698 0.019271 0.043959 0.100822 0.226923 0.532199
2026-03-29 0.003531 0.008279 0.018833 0.044157 0.104143 0.240919 0.581672
2026-04-05 0.003271 0.007872 0.018370 0.044235 0.107182 0.254629 0.632319
2026-04-12 0.003074 0.007590 0.018157 0.044871 0.111622 0.272136 0.694589
2026-04-19 0.002929 0.007415 0.018173 0.046062 0.117566 0.293972 0.770703
2026-04-26 0.002645 0.006856 0.017197 0.044656 0.116814 0.299254 0.804956
2026-05-03 0.002450 0.006501 0.016680 0.044356 0.118862 0.311836 0.860235
2026-05-10 0.002266 0.006151 0.016136 0.043913 0.120479 0.323499 0.914649